📌 GBPUSD Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis (H4 Trend + M15 Entry)
Market Price: ~1.3149
1️⃣ H4 TIMEFRAME – TREND & STRUCTURE
✔ Overall Trend: Bearish
From the H4 chart:
- Price is consistently below the 200 EMA (yellow line).
- Market has been forming lower highs + lower lows since mid-October.
- Recent rally is only a pullback toward mid-band resistance (red mid Bollinger / dynamic resistance).
- Price is failing at 1.3180–1.3200 resistance zone, showing rejection wicks.
Key H4 Resistance Levels
- 1.3200 – Major swing resistance
- 1.3180 – Bollinger midband + dynamic resistance
- 1.3240 – Upper mid-range resistance
Key H4 Support Levels
- 1.3100 – Minor support
- 1.3050 – Next support
- 1.3000 – Psychological support
Bias: Trend-following → SELL ONLY.
2️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME – ENTRY EXECUTION
Current M15 Market Behavior
- Price is consolidating below 1.3180, forming a small triple-top structure.
- Momentum weakening near resistance.
- Short-term support at 1.3130–1.3140 looks ready to break.
- Every rally is being rejected by M15 50/200 EMA stack (bearish alignment).
Candlestick Confirmation Needed
Look for one of the following on M15 before entering:
✔ Bearish engulfing
✔ Pin bar rejection from 1.3180
✔ Break + retest of 1.3140 support
3️⃣ HIGH-PROBABILITY TRADE SETUP (TREND FOLLOWING)
📉 SELL Setup (High Probability)
🔹 Entry Zone (Two Options)
Primary Entry (Safer):
→ Sell at 1.3140 break + retest
(Price currently sitting on this level)
Aggressive Entry (Best R:R):
→ Sell between 1.3170 – 1.3185
(Rejection zone + H4 dynamic resistance)
🔸 Stop-Loss (Based on Market Structure)
Place SL above the swing high + H4 resistance
→ SL: 1.3215
🔸 Take Profit Targets (Trend-Based)
| Target | Level | R:R |
|---|---|---|
| TP1 | 1.3100 | ~1:2 |
| TP2 | 1.3050 | ~1:3 |
| TP3 | 1.3000 | ~1:5 |
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